The Detroit Tigers are not playing all that badly right now. Since the All-Star break, the team has gone 5-2. It’s true that the competition hasn’t been stellar for them over the last week. However, Detroit did win two road series against Seattle and Kansas City. Furthermore, as the chart below shows, Detroit has been playing decent baseball for the last five to six weeks. In their last 3 games, Detroit has played .567 baseball, a nice trend given their division.

Detroit Tigers: Recent Form Alert

  • Formerly: 27 – 39 on June 15th, 2023
  • Currently: 44 – 52 (overall)
  • Recent form: 17 – 13 since June 15th, 2023
  • Recent winning rate: .567

AL Central Division is weak

What can their slight uptick be taken to mean at this point? What cannot be ignored is that Detroit plays in the AL Central division.

That’s the weakest division in baseball this season where the .510 Minnesota Twins are the front-runners. “In the land of the blind, the one-eyed man is king,” they say. In the land of the AL Central, if you can play anything above .500 baseball then you are in the mix for the playoffs.

Detroit is chasing both Minnesota and Cleveland. Furthermore, the Tigers have generally played better than these two teams of late. Heading into Friday, Detroit is five games back of the divisional lead.

Detroit Tigers betting odds

Betting odds in futures markets can be a very funny thing sometimes. The 2023 Detroit Tigers and current ante-post markets with bet365 are a case in point. Detroit is 18 to 1 to win their division with bet365. The same sportsbook has them at 22 to 1 in the “To Make the Playoffs – Yes” market.

If you think about it, those odds don’t make sense in some ways. Making the playoffs is actually easier than winning your division in Major League Baseball. The former can be done by winning your division OR claiming a Wild Card. The odds on Detroit making the playoffs should be shorter than Detroit’s odds to win their division, not longer, from this perspective. Futures markets aren’t a model of efficiency.

Betting Detroit to win their division at 18 to 1 is a mistake. Our recommendation with the Tigers is to take them to make the playoffs at 22 to 1 at this point. The teams they are chasing are weak enough to crack. The main way Detroit gets into the postseason is via a divisional title but if they can keep .567 up for the next 30 games, then they find themselves in the Wild Card mix too.