The Tampa Bay Rays just cannot find solid footing. The team lost another game on Tuesday, falling for the second straight day to the Texas Rangers. The final in this game was Texas 5, Tampa Bay 3 as the Rangers continue to play well after the All-Star break. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay has struggled for over a month now. They should be turning heads for value bettors willing to take a shot at them missing the playoffs.

Texas beat the Rays on Monday and Tuesday nights.

Normally, when a team is 60-38 on the season, you do not bet against them making the playoffs. However, when the same team has played worse than .400 baseball for over a month and they are +1700 to MISS the playoffs, certain mathematical considerations enter play. Firstly, let’s look at Tampa Bay’s recent form as per the chart below.

Tampa Bay Rays: Recent Form Alert

  • Formerly: 51 – 22 on June 17th, 2023
  • Currently: 60 – 38 (overall)
  • Recent form: 9 – 16 since June 17th, 2023
  • Recent winning rate: .360

Tampa Bay has played just .360 baseball over their last 25 games. There are 64 games remaining this season. If you applied a winning rate of 36% to their remaining games, it actually suggests that they would only win 23 more.

Now, bad form doesn’t last forever in a lot of cases. That Tampa Bay has struggled for a month, doesn’t mean that they won’t hit sunny days again. However, with all the talent in the AL East, it’s not hard to picture Tampa Bay losing the divisional title to either Baltimore or Toronto. Then, there are a host of decent teams in the Wild Card mix. If Tampa Bay doesn’t turn things around soon, then they may become just another one of the teams in the mix for the playoffs — not a heavy favorite.

Odds of 17 to 1 cannot be ignored with bet365’s playoff futures. However, they are odds to sprinkle, not pound. The Rays are still 22 games above .500 and have a margin for error. Currently, you might put the Rays at about +750 to miss the playoffs. Anything longer than that is worth a poke.

Further reading: NFL Running Backs Preview 2023/24 NFL Season